I make original datasets available on this page. Replication datasets are available as links on my research page or on DataVerse.
Loss Probability:
The LPR (loss probability) variable from Kayser & Lindstädt (2015) is available here.
More information about the variable is available in the article and in its online appendix. Replication code and raw data for creating the LPR (loss probability) measure itself are available on DataVerse, but we suspect that most people will only want the variable.
How to cite:
Kayser, Mark Andreas and René Lindstädt. 2015. A Cross-National Measure of Electoral Competitiveness. Political Analysis 23(2): 242-253. doi: 10.1093/pan/mpv001 :: pdf :: appendix
Coalition Inclusion Probabilities:
Data on coalition inclusion probabilites, a measure of coalition bargaining leverage meant to predict policy outcomes, are available on a stand-along website:
Polling Data:
Our collection of vote intention polling data from 21 countries for as many months and for as many polling organizations as we could find is also available at